Jesper De Jong vs Adrian MannarinoCagliari CH Round of 16

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 April 2026
clay
#40ATP
1673ELO
1488Clay ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
De Jong J.
6-3 3-6 6-1
Mannarino A.
De Jong J.
6362
Mannarino A.
3611

Jesper De Jong defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-3 3-6 6-1 in the Cagliari CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jesper De Jong claimed a first win over Adrian Mannarino in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jesper De Jong closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25BeijingQ2hardAdrian Mannarino6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
De Jong J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

Serve advantage — De Jong J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Jong J.Mannarino A.
49
Serve
32
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Dominant
37
66
Deciding sets·Even
69
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
57
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+208 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1488
4.7Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
0.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
64

De Jong J.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mannarino A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast