Hubert Hurkacz vs Emilio NavaCagliari CH Round of 16

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#96ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 April 2026
clay
#86ATP
1704ELO
1686Clay ELO
$533kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
Hurkacz H.
6-4 6-1
Nava E.
Hurkacz H.
662
Nava E.
410

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Emilio Nava 6-4 6-1 in the Cagliari CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Emilio Nava came in ranked #86.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nava E.

Nava E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Hurkacz H.Nava E.
Serve
23
Return
3

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.3
7.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Clear edge
40
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+76 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1686
6.5Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1704
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
6.3
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
96

Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Nava E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast