Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper De JongCagliari CH Quarter-final

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#193ATP
1545ELO
1509Clay ELO
$17kYTD
$212kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 April 2026
clay
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Cadenasso G.
6-4 5-7 6-3
De Jong J.
Cadenasso G.
6562
De Jong J.
4731

Gianluca Cadenasso defeated Jesper De Jong 6-4 5-7 6-3 in the Cagliari CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jesper De Jong came in ranked #73.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cadenasso G.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Cadenasso G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cadenasso G.De Jong J.
Serve
49
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1509
Surface ELO
6.2+187 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
3.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
92

Cadenasso G.: 21 days rest · De Jong J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast