Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo BerrettiniCagliari CH Quarter-final

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 April 2026
clay
#51ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Hurkacz H.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Berrettini M.
Hurkacz H.
4662
Berrettini M.
6341

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Matteo Berrettini 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Cagliari CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02United CupRRhardMatteo Berrettini6-4 3-6 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonSFgrassMatteo Berrettini6-3 6-0 6-7(3) 6-4
2019-03-18Miami MastersR128hardHubert Hurkacz6-4 6-3
2018-01-15Australian OpenQ2hardMatteo Berrettini7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Hurkacz H.Berrettini M.
Serve
51
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
6.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
81
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
40
53
Deciding sets·Even
94
91
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1762
Surface ELO
5.0+28 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
63
68

Hurkacz H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 96 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast