Matteo Arnaldi vs Juan Manuel CerundoloCagliari CH Round of 16

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 April 2026
clay
#42ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Arnaldi M.
6-2 6-3
Cerundolo J.
Arnaldi M.
662
Cerundolo J.
230

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-3 in the Cagliari CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.Cerundolo J.
Serve
19
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
82
Break points won·Dominant
51
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+69 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1762
5.5Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1790
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
97

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cerundolo J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast