Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso — Cagliari CH Semi-final

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 April 2026
clay
ITA
Gianluca Cadenasso
#190ATP
1545ELO
1509Clay ELO
$17kYTD
$212kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWLW
Arnaldi M.
1-6 6-1 6-0
Cadenasso G.
Arnaldi M.
1662
Cadenasso G.
6101

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Gianluca Cadenasso 1-6 6-1 6-0 in the Cagliari CH semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Cadenasso G.

Cadenasso G.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Cadenasso G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Cadenasso G.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+322 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1509
7.2Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.0
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Cadenasso G.
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cadenasso G.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Arnaldi M.
Hurkacz H.[6]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[6]
Burruchaga R.[4]
4-67-636-3
Arnaldi M.
Cadenasso G.
1-66-16-0
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.[6]
Berrettini M.
4-66-36-4
Burruchaga R.[4]
Giron M.[8]
6-32-67-61
Arnaldi M.
Borges N.[3]
6-36-727-63
Cadenasso G.
De Jong J.
6-45-76-3
R16
Burruchaga R.[4]
Pellegrino A.
6-44-67-5
De Jong J.
Mannarino A.[2]
6-33-66-1
Giron M.[8]
Kovacevic A.
6-23-66-4
Borges N.[3]
Garin C.
6-43-67-66
Cadenasso G.
Bellucci M.
7-56-1
Arnaldi M.
Cerundolo J.[7]
6-26-3
Berrettini M.
Navone M.[1]
7-56-3
Hurkacz H.[6]
Nava E.
6-46-1
R32
Hurkacz H.[6]
Svajda Z.
6-27-68
Giron M.[8]
Vukic A.
6-41-66-1
Cerundolo J.[7]
Cina F.
6-786-46-3
Garin C.
Echargui M.
6-756-46-2
Nava E.
Dzumhur D.
6-43-0
Berrettini M.
Kypson P.
6-46-757-65
Pellegrino A.
Sakellaridis S.
2-66-46-4
Kovacevic A.
Potenza L.
6-37-66
Arnaldi M.
Arnaboldi F.
6-736-46-2
Cadenasso G.
Carboni L.
6-36-1
De Jong J.
Travaglia S.
6-746-36-1
Bellucci M.
Sonego L.[5]
6-41-67-5