Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico ArnaboldiCagliari CH Round of 32

Cagliari CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 April 2026
clay
#585ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Arnaldi M.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Arnaboldi F.
Arnaldi M.
63662
Arnaboldi F.
77421

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Federico Arnaboldi 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Cagliari CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Arnaboldi F.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
39
Break points saved·Dominant
97
41
Break points won·Dominant
51
15
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
10.0+541 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1289
9.6Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
99

Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaboldi F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast