Keegan Smith vs Sho ShimabukuroJiujiang CH Round of 16

Jiujiang CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#247ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2026
hard
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Smith K.
5-7 6-0 6-3
Shimabukuro S.
Smith K.
5662
Shimabukuro S.
7031

Keegan Smith defeated Sho Shimabukuro 5-7 6-0 6-3 in the Jiujiang CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #90.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
42
Break points saved·Even
84
88
Break points won·Dominant
3
31
Deciding sets·Even
48
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1395
Surface ELO
8.2+212 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
6.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
94

Smith K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Shimabukuro S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast