Xinxin Yao vs Sara Saito — Huzhou 125 Round of 32

Huzhou 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CHN
Xinxin Yao
#289WTA
1450ELO
1308Clay ELO
22 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2026
clay
JPN
Sara Saito
#280WTA
1393ELO
1343Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWL
Yao X.
6-2 6-7 6-4
Saito S.
Yao X.
66762
Saito S.
27941

Xinxin Yao defeated Sara Saito 6-2 6-7 6-4 in the Huzhou 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sara Saito came in ranked #280, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Xinxin Yao closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yao X.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Saito S.

Saito S.serving30% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Yao X.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Yao X.Saito S.
1st serve in·Even
66%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
37%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
7.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yao X.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Saito S.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1308
Surface ELO
6.1+35 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1393
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.1
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Kawa K.
Erjavec V.
6-06-4
Semi-finals
Erjavec V.
Wang X.
6-47-63
Kawa K.
Guo H.
6-46-1
Quarter-finals
Kawa K.
Panshina V.
6-34-66-1
Guo H.
Zolotareva R.
6-26-1
Erjavec V.
Zheng W.
6-26-4
Wang X.
Hercog P.
6-36-756-4
R16
Guo H.
Cherubini D.
7-606-0
Erjavec V.
Lansere S.
6-36-3
Wang X.
Yuan C.
6-46-4
Hercog P.
Ren Y.
5-76-16-4
Panshina V.
Lu J.
6-16-3
Kawa K.
Ibragimova A.
6-46-2
Zolotareva R.
Yao X.
7-632-66-3
Zheng W.
Wei S.
4-3
R32
Panshina V.
Spiteri D.
6-44-66-3
Ibragimova A.
Shi H.
6-32-66-2
Erjavec V.
Wang M.
6-06-3
Lansere S.
Mikulskyte J.
6-36-3
Wei S.
Pieri J.
7-626-4
Zheng W.
Ma Y.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Kulambayeva Z.
6-36-4
Yuan C.
Zolotareva A.
6-31-66-3
Ren Y.
Yang Y.
6-26-1
Hercog P.
Gao X.
4-67-656-3
Lu J.
You X.
4-67-57-5
Kawa K.
Zhao C.
6-26-1
Guo H.
Jakupovic D.
6-37-63
Cherubini D.
Reyngold E.
6-46-3
Yao X.
Saito S.
6-26-776-4
Zolotareva R.
Papamichail D.
4-66-16-2