Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Ashlyn KruegerVic 125 Round of 16

Vic 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#153WTA
1615ELO
1601Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2026
clay
#66WTA
1791ELO
1678Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Haddad Maia B.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Krueger A.
Haddad Maia B.
66662
Krueger A.
78431

Beatriz Haddad Maia defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the Vic 125 round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #66. Beatriz Haddad Maia extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-22Bad HomburgR32grassBeatriz Haddad Maia6-1 6-4
2025-05-18StrasbourgR16clayBeatriz Haddad Maia7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Haddad Maia B.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Haddad Maia B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
37%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
40%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.1
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
87
Break points won·Even
88
85
Deciding sets·Even
89
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1601
Surface ELO
4.7+77 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1615
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1791
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.1
Surface form
3.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
88

Haddad Maia B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Krueger A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast