Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara KorpatschVic 125 Final

Vic 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2026
clay
#78WTA
1668ELO
1655Clay ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWL
Kasatkina D.
2-6 6-3 7-5
Korpatsch T.
Kasatkina D.
2672
Korpatsch T.
6351

Daria Kasatkina defeated Tamara Korpatsch 2-6 6-3 7-5 in the Vic 125 final on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Korpatsch T.

Korpatsch T.serving31% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
51%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
42
Break points saved·Dominant
80
13
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
73
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+114 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1655
6.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1668
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
87

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Korpatsch T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast