Aliona Bolsova vs Peyton Stearns — Vic 125 Round of 32

Vic 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Aliona Bolsova
ESP
Aliona Bolsova
#328WTA
1510ELO
1487Clay ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2026
clay
Peyton Stearns
USA
Peyton Stearns
#63WTA
1804ELO
1756Clay ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Bolsova A.
6-4 5-7 7-6
Stearns P.
Bolsova A.
65772
Stearns P.
47641

Aliona Bolsova defeated Peyton Stearns 6-4 5-7 7-6 in the Vic 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Peyton Stearns came in ranked #63.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolsova A.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Bolsova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Bolsova A.Stearns P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bolsova A.Stearns P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
73
Break points saved·Dominant
30
90
Break points won·Clear edge
80
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
51
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bolsova A.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Stearns P.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Clay Elo 1487
Surface ELO
8.3+269 Clay Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1804
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bolsova A.Stearns P.
Freshness·
—
96

Stearns P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Kasatkina D.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Korpatsch T.
Bassols Ribera M.
3-66-06-4
Kasatkina D.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-26-0
Quarter-finals
Kasatkina D.
Charaeva A.
4-66-06-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Pridankina E.
3-67-57-5
Korpatsch T.
Uebelhoer C.
6-16-1
Bassols Ribera M.
Haddad Maia B.
6-26-1
R16
Kasatkina D.
Pigossi L.
6-26-2
Pridankina E.
Masarova R.
2-66-26-1
Uebelhoer C.
Sramkova R.
7-52-66-1
Charaeva A.
Wang X.
7-53-67-61
Korpatsch T.
Teichmann J.
6-36-2
Haddad Maia B.
Krueger A.
6-766-46-3
Bassols Ribera M.
Bolsova A.
6-37-67
Sorribes Tormo S.
Ruzic A.
1-66-36-4
R32
Sramkova R.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-26-4
Ruzic A.
Bosio V.
6-17-65
Sorribes Tormo S.
Tomljanovic A.
6-42-66-3
Wang X.
Quevedo K.
6-36-0
Charaeva A.
Galfi D.
6-46-2
Pigossi L.
Lepchenko V.
3-67-56-3
Kasatkina D.
Arango E.
6-23-67-65
Pridankina E.
Rakhimova K.
6-46-3
Uebelhoer C.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-44-66-2
Korpatsch T.
Stefanini L.
6-27-64
Krueger A.
Hunter S.
6-26-736-1
Bassols Ribera M.
Zakharova A.
6-36-0
Bolsova A.
Stearns P.
6-45-77-64
Teichmann J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-56-0
Haddad Maia B.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-37-65
Masarova R.
Mintegi Del Olmo A.
3-67-56-3