Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov — Madrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
NOR
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#118ATP
1620ELO
1582Clay ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
Denis Shapovalov
CAN31
Denis Shapovalov
#39ATP
1771ELO
1676Clay ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-2 6-1
Shapovalov D.
Budkov Kjaer N.
662
Shapovalov D.
210

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-1 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
99
Break points won·Dominant
39
71
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Even
81
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Budkov Kjaer N.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Shapovalov D.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1582
Surface ELO
5.8+94 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1771
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·Even
100
98

Budkov Kjaer N.: 18 days rest · Shapovalov D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-16-2
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Fils A.[21]
6-26-4
Zverev A.[2]
Blockx A.
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-16-4
Fils A.[21]
Lehecka J.[11]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Jodar R.
6-27-60
Blockx A.
Ruud C.[12]
6-46-4
R16
Ruud C.[12]
Tsitsipas S.
6-747-627-63
Sinner J.[1]
Norrie C.[19]
6-27-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Musetti L.[6]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Mensik J.[23]
6-46-746-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Medvedev D.[7]
6-35-76-4
Blockx A.
Cerundolo F.[16]
7-686-2
Jodar R.
Kopriva V.
7-56-0
Fils A.[21]
Etcheverry T.[25]
6-36-4
R32
Kopriva V.
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-43-60-0
Ruud C.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-36-1
Tsitsipas S.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-2
Cobolli F.[10]
Vallejo A.
6-36-2
Zverev A.[2]
Atmane T.
6-37-62
Medvedev D.[7]
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-36-2
Norrie C.[19]
Tirante T.
7-57-65
Cerundolo F.[16]
Darderi L.[18]
6-26-3
Sinner J.[1]
Moller E.
6-26-3
Musetti L.[6]
Griekspoor T.[29]
6-47-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Michelsen A.
6-46-2
Fils A.[21]
Nava E.
7-626-3
Jodar R.
Fonseca J.[27]
7-644-66-1
Mensik J.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-47-611
Etcheverry T.[25]
Prizmic D.
2-66-46-3
Blockx A.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-636-3
R64
Fonseca J.[27]
Cilic M.
W/O
Atmane T.
Humbert U.[30]
7-637-65
Moller E.
Diallo G.[32]
7-53-3
Sinner J.[1]
Bonzi B.
6-766-16-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Moutet C.[26]
6-36-4
Jodar R.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-1
Etcheverry T.[25]
Ofner S.
6-46-4
Blockx A.
Nakashima B.[28]
3-66-36-4
Musetti L.[6]
Hurkacz H.
6-47-64
Budkov Kjaer N.
Shapovalov D.[31]
6-26-1
Tsitsipas S.
Bublik A.[8]
6-27-5
Ruud C.[12]
Munar J.
6-06-1
Vallejo A.
Tien L.[17]
6-46-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-776-16-4
Cerundolo F.[16]
Hanfmann Y.
6-17-5
Kopriva V.
Rublev A.[9]
6-36-4
Tirante T.
Paul T.[15]
7-56-4
Medvedev D.[7]
Marozsan F.
6-26-736-4
Rinderknech A.[22]
Lajovic D.
6-36-2
Michelsen A.
Struff J.
6-26-1
Lehecka J.[11]
Tabilo A.
3-67-636-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-4
Fils A.[21]
Buse I.
6-747-637-5
Nava E.
Vacherot V.[14]
6-757-616-3
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Gaubas V.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[23]
Damm M.
6-36-4
Prizmic D.
Shelton B.[4]
6-46-747-65
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Navone M.
6-13-66-3
Darderi L.[18]
Cerundolo J.
6-16-3
Norrie C.[19]
Machac T.
6-26-767-65
Khachanov K.[13]
Walton A.
6-26-3
R128
Budkov Kjaer N.
Opelka R.
5-3
Ofner S.
Basilashvili N.
7-657-60
Marozsan F.
Quinn E.
7-657-66
Kopriva V.
Zhang Z.
6-26-0
Jodar R.
De Jong J.
2-67-56-4
Tirante T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-4
Cilic M.
Bergs Z.
4-66-36-4
Atmane T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-5
Struff J.
Muller A.
7-636-0
Carreno Busta P.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-656-2
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
6-26-4
Moller E.
Cina F.
6-47-64
Buse I.
Mannarino A.
6-46-2
Blockx A.
Garin C.
4-67-57-5
Lajovic D.
Sonego L.
6-37-61
Hanfmann Y.
Giron M.
6-46-737-5
Navone M.
Borges N.
6-36-4
Vallejo A.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-4
Prizmic D.
Berrettini M.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.
Faria J.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Royer V.
6-26-4
Walton A.
Landaluce M.
6-26-3
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-1
Machac T.
Comesana F.
3-67-636-3
Cerundolo J.
Altmaier D.
6-46-4
Nava E.
Brooksby J.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.
Kypson P.
3-67-667-64
Damm M.
Popyrin A.
7-676-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Monfils G.
6-36-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Trungelliti M.
6-41-67-66
Gaubas V.
Baez S.
7-56-1
Bonzi B.
Droguet T.
6-747-646-4