Elmer Moller vs Hugo Gaston — Madrid Masters Qualifying Round 1

Madrid Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
DEN
Elmer Moller
#147ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
Hugo Gaston
FRA18
Hugo Gaston
#118ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
Moller E.
6-3 6-3
Gaston H.
Moller E.
662
Gaston H.
330

Elmer Moller defeated Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-3 in the Madrid Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #118, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Moller E.Gaston H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Moller E.Gaston H.
Clutch Rating·Even
69
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
91
Break points won·Even
58
57
Deciding sets·Even
81
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
82
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moller E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Gaston H.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+27 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1566
4.6Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.8
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Moller E.Gaston H.
Freshness·Dominant
94
64

Moller E.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Q2
Moller E.
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-646-3
Merida Aguilar D.[13]
Trungelliti M.[1]
7-646-3
Budkov Kjaer N.
Echargui M.
6-16-0
Prizmic D.[4]
Piros Z.
6-36-2
Damm M.[24]
Garin C.[2]
2-66-47-65
Basilashvili N.[20]
Kypson P.[7]
6-727-636-4
Bonzi B.[15]
Dedura Palomero D.
6-26-1
Gaubas V.[22]
Sakamoto R.
7-656-757-64
Droguet T.[17]
Wu Y.[11]
6-07-65
Vallejo A.[8]
Rocha H.
6-14-66-2
Lajovic D.
Rodesch C.
6-46-4
Faria J.
Harris L.
4-66-30-0
Q1
Damm M.[24]
Pellegrino A.
6-07-65
Vallejo A.[8]
Martinez P.
6-36-1
Bonzi B.[15]
Blanch D.
6-37-62
Sakamoto R.
Svajda Z.[3]
7-696-1
Trungelliti M.[1]
Gojo B.
6-46-3
Budkov Kjaer N.
Maestrelli F.[16]
6-46-4
Rodesch C.
Hijikata R.[12]
7-626-2
Droguet T.[17]
Virtanen O.
2-66-36-3
Faria J.
Halys Q.[6]
6-796-36-4
Harris L.
Mcdonald M.[23]
6-46-2
Kypson P.[7]
Kouame M.
6-26-2
Garin C.[2]
Blanchet U.
7-56-4
Gaubas V.[22]
Gea A.
6-26-4
Lajovic D.
Arnaldi M.[14]
6-03-66-4
Dedura Palomero D.
Van Assche L.[10]
6-36-2
Basilashvili N.[20]
Travaglia S.
7-646-4
Merida Aguilar D.[13]
Harris B.
6-37-5
Wu Y.[11]
Dhamne M.
6-17-5
Echargui M.
Kovacevic A.[9]
4-66-47-63
Piros Z.
Barrios Vera T.[21]
6-37-5
Rocha H.
Choinski J.[19]
7-656-757-5
Moller E.
Gaston H.[18]
6-36-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Vukic A.[5]
6-46-2
Prizmic D.[4]
Oconnell C.
7-696-757-63