Flavio Cobolli vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#10ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Cobolli F.
6-7 6-1 6-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Cobolli F.
67662
Ugo Carabelli C.
79141

Flavio Cobolli defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-7 6-1 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cobolli F.Ugo Carabelli C.
54
Serve
24
54
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Dominant
35
62
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+122 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1741
6.7Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
8.4
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
50
96

Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%