Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez — Madrid Masters Round of 128

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 128
LTU
Vilius Gaubas
#128ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$275kYTD
$759kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Gaubas V.
7-5 6-1
Baez S.
Gaubas V.
762
Baez S.
510

Vilius Gaubas defeated Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-1 in the Madrid Masters round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Vilius Gaubas claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Vilius Gaubas came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30BucharestR32claySebastian Baez6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Gaubas V.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Serve advantage — Baez S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Gaubas V.Baez S.
—
Serve
7
—
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Gaubas V.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaubas V.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Dominant
52
86
Deciding sets·Even
86
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaubas V.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Baez S.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1535
Surface ELO
6.2+183 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1759
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.5
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
9.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaubas V.Baez S.
Freshness·Dominant
70
100

Gaubas V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Baez S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-16-2
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Fils A.[21]
6-26-4
Zverev A.[2]
Blockx A.
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-16-4
Fils A.[21]
Lehecka J.[11]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Jodar R.
6-27-60
Blockx A.
Ruud C.[12]
6-46-4
R16
Ruud C.[12]
Tsitsipas S.
6-747-627-63
Sinner J.[1]
Norrie C.[19]
6-27-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Musetti L.[6]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Mensik J.[23]
6-46-746-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Medvedev D.[7]
6-35-76-4
Blockx A.
Cerundolo F.[16]
7-686-2
Jodar R.
Kopriva V.
7-56-0
Fils A.[21]
Etcheverry T.[25]
6-36-4
R32
Kopriva V.
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-43-60-0
Ruud C.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-36-1
Tsitsipas S.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-2
Cobolli F.[10]
Vallejo A.
6-36-2
Zverev A.[2]
Atmane T.
6-37-62
Medvedev D.[7]
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-36-2
Norrie C.[19]
Tirante T.
7-57-65
Cerundolo F.[16]
Darderi L.[18]
6-26-3
Sinner J.[1]
Moller E.
6-26-3
Musetti L.[6]
Griekspoor T.[29]
6-47-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Michelsen A.
6-46-2
Fils A.[21]
Nava E.
7-626-3
Jodar R.
Fonseca J.[27]
7-644-66-1
Mensik J.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-47-611
Etcheverry T.[25]
Prizmic D.
2-66-46-3
Blockx A.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-636-3
R64
Fonseca J.[27]
Cilic M.
W/O
Atmane T.
Humbert U.[30]
7-637-65
Moller E.
Diallo G.[32]
7-53-3
Sinner J.[1]
Bonzi B.
6-766-16-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Moutet C.[26]
6-36-4
Jodar R.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-1
Etcheverry T.[25]
Ofner S.
6-46-4
Blockx A.
Nakashima B.[28]
3-66-36-4
Musetti L.[6]
Hurkacz H.
6-47-64
Budkov Kjaer N.
Shapovalov D.[31]
6-26-1
Tsitsipas S.
Bublik A.[8]
6-27-5
Ruud C.[12]
Munar J.
6-06-1
Vallejo A.
Tien L.[17]
6-46-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-776-16-4
Cerundolo F.[16]
Hanfmann Y.
6-17-5
Kopriva V.
Rublev A.[9]
6-36-4
Tirante T.
Paul T.[15]
7-56-4
Medvedev D.[7]
Marozsan F.
6-26-736-4
Rinderknech A.[22]
Lajovic D.
6-36-2
Michelsen A.
Struff J.
6-26-1
Lehecka J.[11]
Tabilo A.
3-67-636-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-4
Fils A.[21]
Buse I.
6-747-637-5
Nava E.
Vacherot V.[14]
6-757-616-3
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Gaubas V.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[23]
Damm M.
6-36-4
Prizmic D.
Shelton B.[4]
6-46-747-65
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Navone M.
6-13-66-3
Darderi L.[18]
Cerundolo J.
6-16-3
Norrie C.[19]
Machac T.
6-26-767-65
Khachanov K.[13]
Walton A.
6-26-3
R128
Budkov Kjaer N.
Opelka R.
5-3
Ofner S.
Basilashvili N.
7-657-60
Marozsan F.
Quinn E.
7-657-66
Kopriva V.
Zhang Z.
6-26-0
Jodar R.
De Jong J.
2-67-56-4
Tirante T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-4
Cilic M.
Bergs Z.
4-66-36-4
Atmane T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-5
Struff J.
Muller A.
7-636-0
Carreno Busta P.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-656-2
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
6-26-4
Moller E.
Cina F.
6-47-64
Buse I.
Mannarino A.
6-46-2
Blockx A.
Garin C.
4-67-57-5
Lajovic D.
Sonego L.
6-37-61
Hanfmann Y.
Giron M.
6-46-737-5
Navone M.
Borges N.
6-36-4
Vallejo A.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-4
Prizmic D.
Berrettini M.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.
Faria J.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Royer V.
6-26-4
Walton A.
Landaluce M.
6-26-3
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-1
Machac T.
Comesana F.
3-67-636-3
Cerundolo J.
Altmaier D.
6-46-4
Nava E.
Brooksby J.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.
Kypson P.
3-67-667-64
Damm M.
Popyrin A.
7-676-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Monfils G.
6-36-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Trungelliti M.
6-41-67-66
Gaubas V.
Baez S.
7-56-1
Bonzi B.
Droguet T.
6-747-646-4