Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo ArnaldiMadrid Masters Qualifying Round 1

Madrid Masters · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#153ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Lajovic D.
6-0 3-6 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Lajovic D.
6362
Arnaldi M.
0641

Dusan Lajovic defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-0 3-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35. Dusan Lajovic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersQ1clayDusan Lajovic6-0 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Lajovic D.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Serve advantage — Lajovic D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
78
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Clear edge
36
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1588
Surface ELO
6.6+243 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
3.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
94

Lajovic D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast