Karolina Pliskova vs Elise MertensMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#73WTA
1869ELO
1806Clay ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
#27WTA
1894ELO
1811Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Pliskova K.
7-5 2-6 7-6
Mertens E.
Pliskova K.
72772
Mertens E.
56631

Karolina Pliskova defeated Elise Mertens 7-5 2-6 7-6 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #27, defending last year's round of 32. Karolina Pliskova extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneR32grassKarolina Pliskova6-7(3) 6-3 3-0 RET
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardElise Mertens7-6(3) 6-3
2020-09-14RomeQFclayKarolina Pliskova6-3 3-6 6-0
2019-06-24EastbourneR16grassKarolina Pliskova6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pliskova K.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
90
Break points won·Slight edge
87
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
76
Tiebreaks·Even
74
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1806
Surface ELO
5.3+5 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
78

Pliskova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw