Mai Hontama vs Yuki Naito — W100 Tokyo Round of 16

W100 Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Mai Hontama
JPN
Mai Hontama
#204WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 April 2026
hard
JPN
Yuki Naito
#290WTA
1382ELO
1394Hard ELO
25 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLW
Hontama M.
6-1 6-7 7-5
Naito Y.
Hontama M.
66572
Naito Y.
17751

Mai Hontama defeated Yuki Naito 6-1 6-7 7-5 in the W100 Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mai Hontama came in ranked #204, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Mai Hontama came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–7 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hontama M.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Naito Y.

Naito Y.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Hontama M.Naito Y.
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hontama M.Naito Y.
Clutch Rating·Even
29
30
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
4
Break points won·Slight edge
96
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
69
Tiebreaks·
68
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hontama M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Naito Y.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+48 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1394
7.1Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1382
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hontama M.Naito Y.
Freshness·
100
—

Hontama M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Preston T.
Tararudee L.
6-14-66-4
Semi-finals
Tararudee L.
Iatcenko P.
6-36-2
Preston T.
Hontama M.
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Iatcenko P.
Knutson G.
7-654-66-2
Tararudee L.
Sawangkaew M.
6-26-1
Preston T.
Dart H.
6-26-3
Hontama M.
Kinoshita H.
6-14-67-5
R16
Tararudee L.
Yamaguchi M.
6-43-66-3
Knutson G.
Jones E.
6-46-727-65
Preston T.
Kaji H.
6-36-1
Iatcenko P.
Inoue H.
7-666-3
Dart H.
Sakatsume H.
3-66-06-3
Sawangkaew M.
Hibino N.
6-16-2
Hontama M.
Naito Y.
6-16-757-5
Kinoshita H.
Zhu L.
6-26-4
R32
Tararudee L.
Sawashiro K.
3-66-26-0
Jones E.
Koike E.
6-46-4
Hibino N.
Goto R.
6-46-1
Sawangkaew M.
Inglis M.
6-36-2
Inoue H.
Da Silva Fick G.
6-15-76-4
Kinoshita H.
Ito A.
6-36-3
Kaji H.
Ku Y.
6-47-62
Preston T.
Nishimura K.
6-37-5
Hontama M.
Arseneault A.
6-21-67-5
Sakatsume H.
Ma Y.
6-36-4
Naito Y.
Hon P.
6-26-2
Zhu L.
Zhao C.
6-37-62
Dart H.
Gadecki O.
6-27-5
Iatcenko P.
Thandi K.
6-36-0
Yamaguchi M.
Kawaguchi N.
3-66-36-4
Knutson G.
Wong H.
6-36-4