Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara LepchenkoOeiras 125 Outdoor 2 Round of 16

Oeiras 125 Outdoor 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#125WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 April 2026
clay
#175WTA
1578ELO
1533Clay ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
Bronzetti L.
6-1 7-5
Lepchenko V.
Bronzetti L.
672
Lepchenko V.
15

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Varvara Lepchenko 6-1 7-5 in the Oeiras 125 Outdoor 2 round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Lucia Bronzetti came in ranked #125, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lucia Bronzetti extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Lucia Bronzetti came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-19Roland GarrosQFclayLucia Bronzetti6-2 4-6 7.10-6.7

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Lepchenko V.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
64
Break points won·Clear edge
84
65
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
72
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
48
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4+72 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.6Clay Elo 1533
4.3Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1578
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.5
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
67

Bronzetti L.: 16 days rest · Lepchenko V.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast