Mai Hontama vs Ariana Arseneault — W100 Tokyo Round of 32

W100 Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Mai Hontama
JPN
Mai Hontama
#204WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 April 2026
hard
CAN
Ariana Arseneault
#424WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
Hontama M.
6-2 1-6 7-5
Arseneault A.
Hontama M.
6172
Arseneault A.
2651

Mai Hontama defeated Ariana Arseneault 6-2 1-6 7-5 in the W100 Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mai Hontama came in ranked #204, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Mai Hontama closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hontama M.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Arseneault A.

Arseneault A.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Hontama M.Arseneault A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hontama M.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Arseneault A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+182 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1260
7.4Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1273
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
7.3
0.0
Win streak
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hontama M.Arseneault A.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
78

Hontama M.: 16 days rest · Arseneault A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Preston T.
Tararudee L.
6-14-66-4
Semi-finals
Tararudee L.
Iatcenko P.
6-36-2
Preston T.
Hontama M.
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Iatcenko P.
Knutson G.
7-654-66-2
Tararudee L.
Sawangkaew M.
6-26-1
Preston T.
Dart H.
6-26-3
Hontama M.
Kinoshita H.
6-14-67-5
R16
Tararudee L.
Yamaguchi M.
6-43-66-3
Knutson G.
Jones E.
6-46-727-65
Preston T.
Kaji H.
6-36-1
Iatcenko P.
Inoue H.
7-666-3
Dart H.
Sakatsume H.
3-66-06-3
Sawangkaew M.
Hibino N.
6-16-2
Hontama M.
Naito Y.
6-16-757-5
Kinoshita H.
Zhu L.
6-26-4
R32
Tararudee L.
Sawashiro K.
3-66-26-0
Jones E.
Koike E.
6-46-4
Hibino N.
Goto R.
6-46-1
Sawangkaew M.
Inglis M.
6-36-2
Inoue H.
Da Silva Fick G.
6-15-76-4
Kinoshita H.
Ito A.
6-36-3
Kaji H.
Ku Y.
6-47-62
Preston T.
Nishimura K.
6-37-5
Hontama M.
Arseneault A.
6-21-67-5
Sakatsume H.
Ma Y.
6-36-4
Naito Y.
Hon P.
6-26-2
Zhu L.
Zhao C.
6-37-62
Dart H.
Gadecki O.
6-27-5
Iatcenko P.
Thandi K.
6-36-0
Yamaguchi M.
Kawaguchi N.
3-66-36-4
Knutson G.
Wong H.
6-36-4