Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen KhachanovBarcelona Round of 32

Barcelona · ATP · Round of 32
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 April 2026
clay
#22ATP
1828ELO
1787Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-3 6-4
Khachanov K.
Ugo Carabelli C.
662
Khachanov K.
340

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-4 in the Barcelona round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Khachanov K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
8.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Clear edge
62
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
83
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
5.5+47 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1828
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
9.1
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
77

Ugo Carabelli C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
12°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 67%