Alex Bolt vs Rio NoguchiBusan CH Quarter-final

Busan CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#166ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 April 2026
hard
#222ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLWL
Bolt A.
7-6 7-6
Noguchi R.
Bolt A.
77772
Noguchi R.
64650

Alex Bolt defeated Rio Noguchi 7-6 7-6 in the Busan CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Bolt came in ranked #166, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Noguchi R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
68%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
23
Break points saved·Dominant
93
25
Break points won·Clear edge
7
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1513
5.6Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1532
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
2.0
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
9.2
0.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Bolt A.: 21 days rest · Noguchi R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast