Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman SafiullinMadrid CH Round of 16

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#177ATP
1577ELO
1537Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$299kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
clay
#132ATP
1750ELO
1754Clay ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Schwaerzler J.
6-3 6-4
Safiullin R.
Schwaerzler J.
662
Safiullin R.
340

Joel Schwaerzler defeated Roman Safiullin 6-3 6-4 in the Madrid CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Safiullin came in ranked #132, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Joel Schwaerzler claimed a first win over Roman Safiullin in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-20Roland GarrosSFclayRoman Safiullin4-6 4-6

Serve vs return

This season
Schwaerzler J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Schwaerzler J.

Serve advantage — Safiullin R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
68
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
96
Break points won·Dominant
4
44
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
76
Tiebreaks·Even
77
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1537
Surface ELO
7.2+217 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1750
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
6.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
70

Schwaerzler J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast