Toby Samuel vs Daniel Rincon — Madrid CH Round of 32

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GBR8
Toby Samuel
#123ATP
1745ELO
1635Clay ELO
$175kYTD
$290kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
clay
ESP
Daniel Rincon
#261ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Samuel T.
6-7 6-4 6-1
Rincon D.
Samuel T.
63662
Rincon D.
77411

Toby Samuel defeated Daniel Rincon 6-7 6-4 6-1 in the Madrid CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Toby Samuel came in ranked #123.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Samuel T.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rincon D.

Rincon D.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Samuel T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Samuel T.Rincon D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Samuel T.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Rincon D.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+166 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1469
7.8Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1522
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
6.8
10.020-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
1.1
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Samuel T.Rincon D.
Freshness·Dominant
93
45

Samuel T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rincon D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Piros Z.[5]
Rodionov J.
7-56-2
Semi-finals
Rodionov J.
Jarry N.[6]
6-767-647-64
Piros Z.[5]
Samuel T.[8]
4-66-36-3
Quarter-finals
Samuel T.[8]
Schwaerzler J.
7-677-62
Jarry N.[6]
Fatic N.
6-16-4
Piros Z.[5]
Moro Canas A.
4-66-36-4
Rodionov J.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-36-4
R16
Piros Z.[5]
Hemery C.
6-06-2
Jarry N.[6]
Stricker D.
6-27-65
Samuel T.[8]
Sakellaridis S.
6-23-67-62
Moro Canas A.
Llamas Ruiz P.[4]
6-47-65
Fatic N.
Agamenone F.
6-34-67-61
Rodionov J.
Perez Contri S.
7-656-756-3
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Roca Batalla O.
6-46-4
Schwaerzler J.
Safiullin R.
6-36-4
R32
Jarry N.[6]
Damas M.
6-10-0
Samuel T.[8]
Rincon D.
6-736-46-1
Llamas Ruiz P.[4]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-44-67-5
Piros Z.[5]
Shelbayh A.
6-12-66-1
Roca Batalla O.
Blanchet U.[7]
6-16-4
Schwaerzler J.
Butvilas E.
7-653-66-3
Safiullin R.
Dedura Palomero D.
6-47-5
Sakellaridis S.
Kolar Z.
7-57-62
Hemery C.
Martinez A.
6-27-63
Moro Canas A.
Bernet H.
6-46-1
Stricker D.
Nedic A.
6-36-716-2
Fatic N.
Martin Tiffon P.
6-747-666-1
Agamenone F.
Rodesch C.[3]
5-76-26-1
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Ivanov I.
7-56-2
Rodionov J.
Cina F.
6-46-3
Perez Contri S.
Gea A.[2]
6-23-66-1