Pavel Kotov vs Keegan Smith — Wuning 1 CH Round of 32

Wuning 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Pavel Kotov
RUS8
Pavel Kotov
#249ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
hard
USA
Keegan Smith
#247ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Kotov P.
6-4 6-4
Smith K.
Kotov P.
662
Smith K.
440

Pavel Kotov defeated Keegan Smith 6-4 6-4 in the Wuning 1 CH round of 32 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Smith K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Smith K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
75%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Smith K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
84
Break points won·Slight edge
13
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Smith K.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+206 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1395
8.7Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
2.8
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Smith K.
Freshness·
—
78

Smith K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Kotov P.[8]
Wendelken H.[6]
4-66-36-4
Semi-finals
Kotov P.[8]
Sun F.[5]
7-693-66-3
Wendelken H.[6]
Tu L.
6-26-2
Quarter-finals
Wendelken H.[6]
Chidekh C.[1]
6-46-4
Tu L.
Pearson K.
7-626-4
Sun F.[5]
Boulais J.
6-16-1
Kotov P.[8]
Simakin I.[2]
2-67-656-3
R16
Boulais J.
Uchida K.[4]
6-36-4
Tu L.
Gray A.
6-46-4
Sun F.[5]
Sekulic P.
7-626-3
Chidekh C.[1]
Gadamauri B.
6-46-1
Wendelken H.[6]
Fomin S.
7-56-2
Pearson K.
Zhou Y.[3]
6-46-4
Kotov P.[8]
Holmgren A.
6-47-66
Simakin I.[2]
Ostapenkov D.
6-36-3
R32
Pearson K.
Zhao Z.
6-776-46-4
Sekulic P.
Jones M.
6-26-767-65
Gray A.
Uchiyama Y.[7]
6-34-3
Gadamauri B.
Jasika O.
6-36-3
Zhou Y.[3]
Hussey G.
6-36-4
Chidekh C.[1]
Mochizuki Y.
6-46-1
Uchida K.[4]
Binda A.
6-27-65
Kotov P.[8]
Smith K.
6-46-4
Ostapenkov D.
Sun Q.
7-636-4
Simakin I.[2]
Paris T.
6-736-36-4
Boulais J.
Ellis B.
7-652-2
Holmgren A.
Cui J.
7-637-63
Tu L.
Marinkov P.
6-26-3
Fomin S.
Bouzige M.
6-41-67-63
Wendelken H.[6]
Peliwo F.
6-37-68
Sun F.[5]
Cook E.
7-56-4