Misaki Matsuda vs Hayu Kinoshita — W35 Osaka Round of 16

W35 Osaka · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
JPN
Misaki Matsuda
#385WTA
1369ELO
1351Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
hard
JPN
Hayu Kinoshita
#227WTA
1546ELO
1531Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
Matsuda M.
6-4 6-2
Kinoshita H.
Matsuda M.
662
Kinoshita H.
42–

Misaki Matsuda defeated Hayu Kinoshita 6-4 6-2 in the W35 Osaka round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hayu Kinoshita came in ranked #227, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Matsuda M.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Kinoshita H.

Kinoshita H.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Matsuda M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Matsuda M.Kinoshita H.
1st serve in·Even
72%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Matsuda M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Kinoshita H.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
8.1
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Matsuda M.Kinoshita H.
Freshness·
—
93

Kinoshita H.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Okamura K.
Inoue H.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Okamura K.
Ito A.
4-66-37-5
Inoue H.
Kaji H.
6-36-3
Quarter-finals
Ito A.
Micic E.
6-746-46-2
Inoue H.
Matsuda M.
7-636-2
Okamura K.
Koike E.
6-46-4
Kaji H.
Kawaguchi N.
7-636-3
R16
Kaji H.
Sato H.
6-766-36-3
Kawaguchi N.
Kitahara Y.
6-26-3
Koike E.
Da Silva Fick G.
3-66-46-0
Matsuda M.
Kinoshita H.
6-46-2
Ito A.
Shimizu A.
3-66-36-4
Okamura K.
Ishii S.
6-46-3
Micic E.
Saigo R.
6-06-746-1
Inoue H.
Naito Y.
6-42-67-65
R32
Okamura K.
Daniel J.
5-77-57-5
Shimizu A.
Chang H.
1-66-36-3
Kitahara Y.
Tsujioka S.
6-36-2
Inoue H.
Hayasaka K.
3-67-646-4
Da Silva Fick G.
Yamaguchi M.
6-36-3
Saigo R.
Chiba H.
6-26-0
Naito Y.
Kuramochi M.
4-67-56-2
Ishii S.
Zhao C.
6-37-5
Sato H.
Lee Y.
6-06-1
Koike E.
Yoshioka K.
2-66-46-3
Matsuda M.
Sato H.
6-36-1
Kinoshita H.
Deng T.
6-26-3
Ito A.
Kobayashi H.
6-16-0
Kaji H.
Yoshimoto N.
3-66-36-3
Micic E.
Yamazaki I.
6-42-66-1
Kawaguchi N.
Tian F.
3-66-03-5