Maks Kasnikowski vs Sumit NagalMonza CH Qualifying Round 2

Monza CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#252ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
clay
#241ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLL
Kasnikowski M.
4-6 6-3 6-0
Nagal S.
Kasnikowski M.
4662
Nagal S.
6301

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Sumit Nagal 4-6 6-3 6-0 in the Monza CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sumit Nagal came in ranked #241, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kasnikowski M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Nagal S.

Nagal S.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasnikowski M.

Serve advantage — Kasnikowski M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
13
33
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
69
Break points won·Clear edge
16
35
Deciding sets·Even
16
16
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1418
Surface ELO
5.2+120 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1543
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.9
Surface form
4.8
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
48
96

Kasnikowski M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 112 games (7d) · Nagal S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast