Matias Soto vs Jay ClarkeMexico City CH Round of 32

Mexico City CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#296ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
clay
#246ATP
1458ELO
1414Clay ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWL
Soto M.
1-6 6-3 7-5
Clarke J.
Soto M.
1672
Clarke J.
6351

Matias Soto defeated Jay Clarke 1-6 6-3 7-5 in the Mexico City CH round of 32 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Soto M.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Clarke J.

Clarke J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
8
Break points saved·Clear edge
51
63
Break points won·Slight edge
14
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
10
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
4.1+3 Clay Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1458
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.0
Minutes 14d
6.8
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
55
100

Soto M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Clarke J.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast