Alejandro Moro Canas vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Madrid CH Round of 16

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
ESP
Alejandro Moro Canas
#233ATP
1526ELO
1484Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
clay
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ESP4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
#119ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Moro Canas A.
6-4 7-6
Llamas Ruiz P.
Moro Canas A.
6772
Llamas Ruiz P.
4650

Alejandro Moro Canas defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-4 7-6 in the Madrid CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #119.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moro Canas A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Moro Canas A.

Serve advantage — Llamas Ruiz P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Moro Canas A.Llamas Ruiz P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Moro Canas A.Llamas Ruiz P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
88
Break points won·Even
35
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moro Canas A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Llamas Ruiz P.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1484
Surface ELO
6.9+249 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1757
4.6No prior meetings
H2H
5.4
5.0
Surface form
10.0
0.0
Win streak
10.011-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
5.8
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Moro Canas A.Llamas Ruiz P.
Freshness·Even
100
97

Moro Canas A.: 17 days rest · Llamas Ruiz P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Piros Z.[5]
Rodionov J.
7-56-2
Semi-finals
Rodionov J.
Jarry N.[6]
6-767-647-64
Piros Z.[5]
Samuel T.[8]
4-66-36-3
Quarter-finals
Samuel T.[8]
Schwaerzler J.
7-677-62
Jarry N.[6]
Fatic N.
6-16-4
Piros Z.[5]
Moro Canas A.
4-66-36-4
Rodionov J.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-36-4
R16
Piros Z.[5]
Hemery C.
6-06-2
Jarry N.[6]
Stricker D.
6-27-65
Samuel T.[8]
Sakellaridis S.
6-23-67-62
Moro Canas A.
Llamas Ruiz P.[4]
6-47-65
Fatic N.
Agamenone F.
6-34-67-61
Rodionov J.
Perez Contri S.
7-656-756-3
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Roca Batalla O.
6-46-4
Schwaerzler J.
Safiullin R.
6-36-4
R32
Jarry N.[6]
Damas M.
6-10-0
Samuel T.[8]
Rincon D.
6-736-46-1
Llamas Ruiz P.[4]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-44-67-5
Piros Z.[5]
Shelbayh A.
6-12-66-1
Roca Batalla O.
Blanchet U.[7]
6-16-4
Schwaerzler J.
Butvilas E.
7-653-66-3
Safiullin R.
Dedura Palomero D.
6-47-5
Sakellaridis S.
Kolar Z.
7-57-62
Hemery C.
Martinez A.
6-27-63
Moro Canas A.
Bernet H.
6-46-1
Stricker D.
Nedic A.
6-36-716-2
Fatic N.
Martin Tiffon P.
6-747-666-1
Agamenone F.
Rodesch C.[3]
5-76-26-1
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Ivanov I.
7-56-2
Rodionov J.
Cina F.
6-46-3
Perez Contri S.
Gea A.[2]
6-23-66-1