Elina Avanesyan vs Francesca JonesMadrid 125 Round of 16

Madrid 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#211WTA
1694ELO
1666Clay ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 April 2026
clay
#106WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
Avanesyan E.
6-2 6-3
Jones F.
Avanesyan E.
662
Jones F.
23

Elina Avanesyan defeated Francesca Jones 6-2 6-3 in the Madrid 125 round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesca Jones came in ranked #106, but Elina Avanesyan had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Avanesyan E.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Jones F.

Jones F.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Avanesyan E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Even
51%
54%
Return points won·Even
49%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.2
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
60
80
Break points won·Even
97
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
70
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5+45 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.5Clay Elo 1621
4.8Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1619
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
77

Avanesyan E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Jones F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast