Alexandre Muller vs Jan ChoinskiMonte Carlo Masters Qualifying Round 1

Monte Carlo Masters · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#126ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 5 April 2026
clay
#100ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Muller A.
7-6 6-3
Choinski J.
Muller A.
7762
Choinski J.
613

Alexandre Muller defeated Jan Choinski 7-6 6-3 in the Monte Carlo Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Choinski came in ranked #100. Alexandre Muller extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersQ1clayAlexandre Muller7-6(1) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
55
Break points saved·Even
94
90
Break points won·Clear edge
44
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3Clay Elo 1628
Surface ELO
3.7+24 Clay Elo edge
6.5Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1686
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
7.8
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
60

Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast