David Goffin vs Ignacio Buse — Monte Carlo Masters Qualifying Round 1

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
David Goffin
BEL
David Goffin
#241ATP
1665ELO
1637Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 5 April 2026
clay
Ignacio Buse
PER2
Ignacio Buse
#34ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Goffin D.
2-6 6-3 6-3
Buse I.
Goffin D.
2662
Buse I.
6331

David Goffin defeated Ignacio Buse 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Monte Carlo Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Serve advantage — Buse I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Goffin D.Buse I.
—
Serve
41
—
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Goffin D.Buse I.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
45%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Goffin D.Buse I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Dominant
64
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Goffin D.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Buse I.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1637
Surface ELO
5.7+149 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Goffin D.Buse I.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Goffin D.: 18 days rest · Buse I.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Q2
Muller A.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-16-746-4
Blockx A.[12]
Dzumhur D.[5]
7-686-2
Garin C.
Basilashvili N.
7-56-0
Cerundolo J.[3]
Martinez P.
6-22-66-3
Comesana F.[10]
Quinn E.[1]
7-56-2
Shevchenko A.[7]
Bautista Agut R.[8]
7-637-64
Nava E.
Goffin D.
6-36-767-62
Q1
Bautista Agut R.[8]
Bonzi B.
6-46-3
Blockx A.[12]
Maestrelli F.
7-636-2
Cerundolo J.[3]
Nys H.
6-36-3
Garin C.
De Jong J.[14]
7-51-66-1
Quinn E.[1]
Virtanen O.
3-66-26-3
Muller A.[13]
Choinski J.
7-616-3
Comesana F.[10]
Arneodo R.
6-26-1
Nava E.
Halys Q.[11]
6-46-4
Martinez P.
Vukic A.[9]
6-26-4
Goffin D.
Buse I.[2]
2-66-36-3
Basilashvili N.
Struff J.[6]
6-36-3
Shevchenko A.[7]
Pellegrino A.
6-00-0
Dzumhur D.[5]
Budkov Kjaer N.
7-647-5
Arnaldi M.
Kopriva V.[4]
2-66-36-2