Jessica Pegula vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaCharleston Final

Charleston · WTA · Final
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#55WTA
1759ELO
1719Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Pegula J.
6-2 6-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Pegula J.
662
Starodubtseva Y.
220

Jessica Pegula defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-2 6-2 in the Charleston final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Starodubtseva Y.
67
Serve
61
22
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
89
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
66
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.1+222 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Clay Elo 1719
9.5Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.8
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.1
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 44%