Mariano Navone vs Alex MolcanBucharest Quarter-final

Bucharest · ATP · Quarter-final
#38ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Navone M.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Molcan A.
Navone M.
3662
Molcan A.
6231

Mariano Navone defeated Alex Molcan 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Bucharest quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #38, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Navone M.Molcan A.
0
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
75
79
Break points saved·Even
86
90
Break points won·Dominant
90
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+88 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1712
5.4Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1742
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
7.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
89

Navone M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Molcan A.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast