Alexei Popyrin vs Alex MichelsenHouston Round of 16

Houston · ATP · Round of 16
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#46ATP
1825ELO
1694Clay ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWL
Popyrin A.
6-0 4-6 6-1
Michelsen A.
Popyrin A.
6462
Michelsen A.
0611

Alexei Popyrin defeated Alex Michelsen 6-0 4-6 6-1 in the Houston round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.3
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
78
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
6
46
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
91
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+32 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1694
3.8Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1825
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
75

Popyrin A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast