Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Luka PavlovicSan Luis Potosi CH Round of 16

San Luis Potosi CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#338ATP
1527ELO
1460Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#217ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
Pacheco Mendez R.
4-6 6-3 6-0
Pavlovic L.
Pacheco Mendez R.
4662
Pavlovic L.
6301

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez defeated Luka Pavlovic 4-6 6-3 6-0 in the San Luis Potosi CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Luka Pavlovic came in ranked #217, defending last year's round of 32, but Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pacheco Mendez R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Pavlovic L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pacheco Mendez R.

Serve advantage — Pacheco Mendez R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
69%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
10.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
93
Break points won·Clear edge
3
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
21
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1460
Surface ELO
5.0+7 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1510
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
1.5
Surface form
4.7
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
69

Pacheco Mendez R.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast