Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac — Marrakech Round of 16

Marrakech · ATP · Round of 16
Rafael Jodar
ESP
Rafael Jodar
#25ATP
1999ELO
1949Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
Tomas Machac
CZE4
Tomas Machac
#53ATP
1866ELO
1783Clay ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Jodar R.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Machac T.
Jodar R.
6462
Machac T.
4631

Rafael Jodar defeated Tomas Machac 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Marrakech round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

  • Match story: Rafael Jodar closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jodar R.Machac T.
60
Serve
13
85
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.Machac T.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.Machac T.
Clutch Rating·Even
86
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Slight edge
71
80
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Machac T.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+166 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1783
6.6Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1866
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
2.9
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.Machac T.
Freshness·
85
—

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Jodar R.
Trungelliti M.
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Jodar R.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-26-1
Trungelliti M.
Darderi L.[1]
6-47-62
Quarter-finals
Darderi L.
Hanfmann Y.
W/O
Jodar R.
Muller A.
6-22-0
Trungelliti M.
Moutet C.[3]
4-66-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Van Assche L.
0-66-36-2
R16
Muller A.
Kopriva V.[6]
6-37-63
Moutet C.[3]
Baadi T.
6-06-2
Jodar R.
Machac T.[4]
6-44-66-3
Darderi L.[1]
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Buse I.[7]
6-33-67-5
Van Assche L.
Griekspoor T.[2]
6-41-66-3
Trungelliti M.
Majchrzak K.[5]
7-646-3
Hanfmann Y.[8]
Bennani K.
6-46-736-2
R32
Buse I.[7]
Berrettini M.
7-656-726-4
Van Assche L.
Gaston H.
6-47-65
Ugo Carabelli C.
Skatov T.
6-726-36-4
Majchrzak K.[5]
Cerundolo J.
7-633-66-3
Muller A.
Cina F.
6-26-3
Baadi T.
Vukic A.
6-23-66-1
Kopriva V.[6]
Medjedovic H.
6-747-56-2
Bellucci M.
Bennani R.
6-33-66-4
Hanfmann Y.[8]
De Jong J.
7-666-4
Bennani K.
Halys Q.
6-46-756-2
Trungelliti M.
Rocha H.
7-656-2
Jodar R.
Lajovic D.
6-36-4