Tommy Paul vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryHouston Quarter-final

Houston · ATP · Quarter-final
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#32ATP
1812ELO
1767Clay ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWW
Paul T.
6-4 6-2
Etcheverry T.
Paul T.
662
Etcheverry T.
420

Tommy Paul defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-4 6-2 in the Houston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-20HamburgR16clayTommy Paul6.5-7.7 7.7-6.5 7.9-6.7
2026-03-18Miami MastersR16hardTommy Paul6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Etcheverry T.

Etcheverry T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Etcheverry T.
34
Serve
60
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
56%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
70
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
87
36
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
84
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+118 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1767
5.8Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
8.5
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
6.6
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
93

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Etcheverry T.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast