Alex Molcan vs Gabriel Diallo — Bucharest Round of 16

Bucharest · ATP · Round of 16
Alex Molcan
SVK
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
Gabriel Diallo
CAN1
Gabriel Diallo
#93ATP
1716ELO
1629Clay ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Molcan A.
6-2 6-2
Diallo G.
Molcan A.
662
Diallo G.
220

Alex Molcan defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-2 in the Bucharest round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Gabriel Diallo came in ranked #93, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Molcan A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Serve advantage — Molcan A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Molcan A.Diallo G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Molcan A.Diallo G.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Dominant
61
24
Deciding sets·Even
91
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Molcan A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Diallo G.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+83 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1629
5.1Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1716
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
8.4
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Molcan A.Diallo G.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
87

Molcan A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Diallo G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Navone M.[7]
Merida Aguilar D.
6-24-67-5
Semi-finals
Merida Aguilar D.
Marozsan F.[3]
6-746-36-1
Navone M.[7]
Van De Zandschulp B.[8]
5-77-637-5
Quarter-finals
Merida Aguilar D.
Droguet T.
4-67-673-1
Marozsan F.[3]
Altmaier D.[6]
6-27-65
Navone M.[7]
Molcan A.
3-66-26-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[8]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
R16
Molcan A.
Diallo G.[1]
6-26-2
Merida Aguilar D.
Mannarino A.[2]
4-66-26-2
Droguet T.
Baez S.[5]
6-46-4
Van De Zandschulp B.[8]
Shevchenko A.
7-56-1
Altmaier D.[6]
Prizmic D.
3-67-617-67
Dzumhur D.
Borges N.[4]
7-616-4
Marozsan F.[3]
Sakellaridis S.
7-637-5
Navone M.[7]
Moller E.
6-26-1
R32
Van De Zandschulp B.[8]
Maestrelli F.
6-36-2
Sakellaridis S.
Choinski J.
6-36-4
Moller E.
Boitan G.
6-37-5
Altmaier D.[6]
Martinez P.
6-16-4
Dzumhur D.
Jianu F.
6-34-67-64
Navone M.[7]
Oconnell C.
6-47-68
Molcan A.
Arnaldi M.
6-36-1
Merida Aguilar D.
Virtanen O.
7-645-77-5
Baez S.[5]
Gaubas V.
6-36-1
Droguet T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-11-66-1
Prizmic D.
Basilashvili N.
6-46-2
Shevchenko A.
Turcanu R.
6-26-4