Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon NakashimaHouston Round of 16

Houston · ATP · Round of 16
#65ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#31ATP
1839ELO
1735Clay ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Burruchaga R.
6-4 2-6 6-4
Nakashima B.
Burruchaga R.
6262
Nakashima B.
4641

Roman Andres Burruchaga defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the Houston round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's semi-final, but Roman Andres Burruchaga had arrived on a 10-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Burruchaga R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
9.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
56
Break points saved·Dominant
68
99
Break points won·Dominant
73
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
64
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1694
Surface ELO
4.7+41 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
4.3
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.8
Minutes 14d
8.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
78

Burruchaga R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast