Alex Bolt vs Alex RybakovHouston Qualifying Round 1

Houston · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#152ATP
1588ELO
1418Clay ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#432ATP
1352ELO
1311Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Bolt A.
5-7 6-2 6-4
Rybakov A.
Bolt A.
5662
Rybakov A.
7241

Alex Bolt defeated Alex Rybakov 5-7 6-2 6-4 in the Houston qualifying round 1 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alex Bolt came in ranked #152, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Bolt extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-07-16NewportQ2grassAlex Bolt6-3 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Rybakov A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Serve advantage — Bolt A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
68%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
84
Break points won·Even
7
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+108 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1311
8.2Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1352
5.0
H2H
5.0
0.0
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
76

Bolt A.: 18 days rest · Rybakov A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast