Ekaterina Kazionova vs Julia Avdeeva — W50 Nantes Round of 16

W50 Nantes · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
RUS
Ekaterina Kazionova
#400WTA
1375ELO
1325Hard ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
hard
Julia Avdeeva
RUS
Julia Avdeeva
#191WTA
1515ELO
1490Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLW
Kazionova E.
6-7 6-0 7-6
Avdeeva J.
Kazionova E.
646772
Avdeeva J.
770641

Ekaterina Kazionova defeated Julia Avdeeva 6-7 6-0 7-6 in the W50 Nantes round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Julia Avdeeva came in ranked #191, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kazionova E.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Avdeeva J.

Avdeeva J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kazionova E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kazionova E.Avdeeva J.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
48%
Service points won·Clear edge
50%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
8.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kazionova E.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Avdeeva J.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1325
Surface ELO
7.2+165 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1375
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1515
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kazionova E.Avdeeva J.
Freshness·
—
100

Avdeeva J.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Vandromme J.
Barthel M.
3-2
Semi-finals
Vandromme J.
Wolff V.
2-66-46-2
Barthel M.
Kazionova E.
6-26-786-2
Quarter-finals
Wolff V.
Aksu A.
1-67-56-3
Vandromme J.
Yaneva E.
6-37-5
Kazionova E.
Tan H.
6-735-0
Barthel M.
Encheva L.
7-56-2
R16
Wolff V.
Kuzmova K.
5-76-16-4
Kazionova E.
Avdeeva J.
6-746-07-64
Encheva L.
Pavlova K.
6-26-0
Yaneva E.
Gao X.
6-7106-46-3
Aksu A.
Bandecchi S.
6-46-3
Vandromme J.
Podrez V.
5-76-36-4
Tan H.
Urgesi F.
6-26-1
Barthel M.
Visscher S.
4-66-16-3
R32
Aksu A.
Leonard M.
6-46-766-0
Bandecchi S.
Bartashevich Y.
6-46-1
Yaneva E.
Guerrero Alvarez E.
6-46-0
Podrez V.
Martynov D.
6-05-76-4
Pavlova K.
Palicova B.
7-646-3
Visscher S.
Parrizas Diaz N.
4-66-36-3
Encheva L.
Hodzic M.
6-36-4
Kuzmova K.
Cakarevic S.
6-16-1
Wolff V.
Pridankina E.
7-56-3
Kazionova E.
Mikulskyte J.
7-56-4
Gao X.
Serban I.
6-36-1
Urgesi F.
Belgraver J.
6-46-1
Barthel M.
Malygina E.
6-36-2
Avdeeva J.
Fiquet T.
6-46-1
Vandromme J.
Brockmann T.
6-36-3
Tan H.
Monnot A.
6-46-2