Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida AguilarBucharest Final

Bucharest · ATP · Final
#38ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Navone M.
6-2 4-6 7-5
Merida Aguilar D.
Navone M.
6472
Merida Aguilar D.
2651

Mariano Navone defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-2 4-6 7-5 in the Bucharest final on clay. The result followed the form book — Mariano Navone came in defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Mariano Navone closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Navone M.Merida Aguilar D.
0
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
64
Break points won·Dominant
90
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
60
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+100 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1700
5.0Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
90

Navone M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast