Quinn Vandecasteele vs Beibit Zhukayev — Morelia CH Round of 32

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Quinn Vandecasteele
#455ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 March 2026
hard
KAZ
Beibit Zhukayev
#316ATP
1455ELO
1402Hard ELO
25 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
Vandecasteele Q.
6-1 7-6
Zhukayev B.
Vandecasteele Q.
6772
Zhukayev B.
1640

Quinn Vandecasteele defeated Beibit Zhukayev 6-1 7-6 in the Morelia CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Beibit Zhukayev came in ranked #316, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Quinn Vandecasteele came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandecasteele Q.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Zhukayev B.

Zhukayev B.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Vandecasteele Q.

Serve advantage — Vandecasteele Q.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Vandecasteele Q.Zhukayev B.
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
9.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vandecasteele Q.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Zhukayev B.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1368
Surface ELO
5.3+34 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1383
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1455
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
2.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.3
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Vandecasteele Q.Zhukayev B.
Freshness·
68
—

Vandecasteele Q.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Gojo B.[8]
Ficovich J.
7-656-2
Semi-finals
Gojo B.[8]
Mejia N.
6-47-65
Ficovich J.
Pavlovic L.
6-13-66-3
Quarter-finals
Mejia N.
Rodesch C.[6]
4-0
Gojo B.[8]
Pacheco Mendez R.
7-636-4
Ficovich J.
Schoolkate T.[3]
6-37-5
Pavlovic L.
Galarneau A.
7-654-67-65
R16
Ficovich J.
Mochizuki S.[5]
6-736-46-1
Pacheco Mendez R.
Duckworth J.[1]
7-646-3
Gojo B.[8]
Vandecasteele Q.
6-36-767-5
Mejia N.
Martin A.
6-46-4
Rodesch C.[6]
Polmans M.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.[3]
Andrade A.
6-46-0
Galarneau A.
Yunchaokete B.[7]
7-606-4
Pavlovic L.
Magadan A.
6-46-3
R32
Gojo B.[8]
Krueger M.
7-656-4
Mejia N.
Wong C.[4]
7-57-62
Polmans M.
Mena F.
6-33-67-65
Mochizuki S.[5]
Smith K.
3-66-36-4
Schoolkate T.[3]
Catry R.
7-626-4
Galarneau A.
Tobon M.
7-642-66-3
Yunchaokete B.[7]
Wiskandt M.
7-56-4
Ficovich J.
Alves M.
6-36-1
Andrade A.
Hernandez Serrano J.
6-46-4
Vandecasteele Q.
Zhukayev B.
6-17-64
Pavlovic L.
Walton A.[2]
6-37-5
Martin A.
Kozlov S.
6-26-2
Duckworth J.[1]
Huesler M.
5-76-46-4
Pacheco Mendez R.
Ayeni O.
6-26-4
Rodesch C.[6]
Crawford O.
6-36-3
Magadan A.
Rubio Fierros A.
6-36-2