Luka Pavlovic vs Adam WaltonMorelia CH Round of 32

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#217ATP
1510ELO
1464Hard ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 March 2026
hard
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Pavlovic L.
6-3 7-5
Walton A.
Pavlovic L.
672
Walton A.
350

Luka Pavlovic defeated Adam Walton 6-3 7-5 in the Morelia CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adam Walton came in ranked #85.

Key context

  • Match story: Luka Pavlovic closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlovic L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pavlovic L.Walton A.
Serve
35
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.2
7.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
60
66
Break points saved·Even
93
95
Break points won·Even
24
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1464
Surface ELO
7.2+205 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
7.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
1.7
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
57

Pavlovic L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast