Andrea Guerrieri vs Stefano TravagliaNaples CH Round of 32

Naples CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#227ATP
1545ELO
1510Clay ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 March 2026
clay
#130ATP
1570ELO
1528Clay ELO
$175kYTD
$2.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWW
Guerrieri A.
7-6 2-6 7-6
Travaglia S.
Guerrieri A.
792792
Travaglia S.
676671

Andrea Guerrieri defeated Stefano Travaglia 7-6 2-6 7-6 in the Naples CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Stefano Travaglia came in ranked #130, but Andrea Guerrieri had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Guerrieri A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Travaglia S.

Travaglia S.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Guerrieri A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
33
Break points saved·Even
80
81
Break points won·Slight edge
40
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
44
Tiebreaks·
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1510
Surface ELO
5.5+18 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1570
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
10.0
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
10.012-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.6
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
98

Guerrieri A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Travaglia S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast