Luka Pavlovic vs Alexis Galarneau — Morelia CH Quarter-final

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

FRA

Luka Pavlovic

#217ATP

1510ELO

1464Hard ELO

26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLWLLLL

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 23 March 2026

hard

CAN

Alexis Galarneau

#179ATP

1593ELO

1548Hard ELO

$166kYTD

$825kCAREER

27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWLWLWWLW

Pavlovic L.

7-6 4-6 7-6

Galarneau A.

Pavlovic L.

7⁷47⁷2

Galarneau A.

6⁵66⁵1

Luka Pavlovic defeated Alexis Galarneau 7-6 4-6 7-6 in the Morelia CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexis Galarneau came in ranked #179, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Match story: Luka Pavlovic edged Alexis Galarneau in three tight sets (7–6 4–6 7–6).

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Pavlovic L.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Galarneau A.

Galarneau A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Serve advantage — Galarneau A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Pavlovic L.Galarneau A.

1st serve in·Slight edge

54%

60%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

76%

68%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

45%

50%

Service points won·Even

62%

61%

Return points won·Slight edge

34%

40%

Break points saved·Slight edge

64%

58%

Aces / match·Dominant

9.9

2.9

Double faults / match·Slight edge

4.4

4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Pavlovic L.Galarneau A.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Slight edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Pavlovic L.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Galarneau A.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.8Hard Elo 1464

Surface ELO

6.2+85 Hard Elo edge

3.9Overall Elo 1510

ELO gap

6.1Overall Elo 1593

10.0No prior meetings

H2H

0.0

5.4

Surface form

5.4

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

9.0

Minutes 14d

9.3

4.0

3-set count

8.0

Prev. match

9.0

6.0

Surface transition

Context

5.0

Defending pts

6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.