Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Shintaro MochizukiMorelia CH Round of 16

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#197ATP
1415ELO
1419Hard ELO
$100kYTD
$984kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 March 2026
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Ficovich J.
6-7 6-4 6-1
Mochizuki S.
Ficovich J.
63662
Mochizuki S.
77411

Juan Pablo Ficovich defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-7 6-4 6-1 in the Morelia CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #151, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ficovich J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ficovich J.

Serve advantage — Ficovich J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
52
Break points saved·Even
76
74
Break points won·Dominant
9
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
27
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1419
Surface ELO
5.1+7 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1415
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
3.3
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
6.8
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
77

Ficovich J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast