Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian Ofner — Alicante CH Semi-final

Alicante CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP5
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 March 2026
clay
Sebastian Ofner
AUT1
Sebastian Ofner
#110ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Carreno Busta P.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Ofner S.
Carreno Busta P.
3662
Ofner S.
6341

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Sebastian Ofner 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Alicante CH semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Ofner S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Ofner S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Even
97
93
Break points won·Clear edge
61
43
Deciding sets·Even
80
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Ofner S.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+86 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1680
5.7Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1713
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
5.7
10.012-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
7.2
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Ofner S.
Freshness·Clear edge
90
73

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ofner S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Llamas Ruiz P.
Carreno Busta P.[5]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Carreno Busta P.[5]
Ofner S.[1]
3-66-36-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Safiullin R.
6-47-5
Quarter-finals
Ofner S.[1]
Cecchinato M.
7-667-5
Carreno Busta P.[5]
Martinez P.[4]
6-44-66-4
Safiullin R.
Houkes M.
6-46-1
Llamas Ruiz P.
Butvilas E.
6-16-2
R16
Llamas Ruiz P.
Blanch D.
6-16-2
Butvilas E.
De Jong J.[2]
7-52-66-4
Cecchinato M.
Harris L.
6-26-1
Ofner S.[1]
Moro Canas A.
7-656-4
Martinez P.[4]
Bertola R.
4-66-06-1
Carreno Busta P.[5]
Sanchez Quilez A.
3-67-56-3
Houkes M.
Gaubas V.[3]
6-776-47-64
Safiullin R.
Choinski J.[7]
6-26-3
R32
Moro Canas A.
Kolar Z.
6-42-66-0
Cecchinato M.
Lajovic D.[8]
7-56-3
Safiullin R.
Bailly G.
6-16-4
Gaubas V.[3]
Shelbayh A.
6-767-646-1
Sanchez Quilez A.
Montes De La Torre I.
6-36-0
Carreno Busta P.[5]
Gulin S.
7-56-1
Butvilas E.
Martin Tiffon P.
6-36-3
De Jong J.[2]
Pieri S.
5-76-17-62
Harris L.
Gakhov I.
6-30-0
Martinez P.[4]
Sanchez Jover C.
6-36-2
Bertola R.
Hassan B.
6-36-2
Ofner S.[1]
Skatov T.
6-36-4
Choinski J.[7]
Pereira T.
6-16-2
Houkes M.
Merida Aguilar D.
3-66-36-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Ivashka I.
6-36-4
Blanch D.
Engel J.
6-26-1